| # | Author | Message |
31
| WilliamK99
Sun 5/18/2008 6:16a | Really? Critics enjoyed it - all of the top reviewers thought it was a good movie. It has 70% on Rotten Tomatoes among reviewers and 80% amongst the RT community - that seems pretty strong to me.<<
Fantasy movies traditionally do better during the holiday season, especially movies with such a strong Christian influence. Disney really dropped the ball releasing Narnia in the summer. Whoever made that decision should be canned because Narnia is best suited for a Christmas release. Hopefully Disney will learn their lesson and move the 3rd movie to December 10, because where they have it now, opening 1 week after Iron Man II, is going to get it smoked badly.... |
32
| dshyates
Sun 5/18/2008 6:25a | I am no expert, but last week on MSNBC when Speed Racer was tanking so hard, one of the entertainment analyst was said, (to paraphrase) "there isn't much hope for Speed Racer because Iron Man was holding strong and next weekend Narnia opens and is expected to come in around $65 mil. And it is testing strong so Prince Caspian will offically kill Speed Racer." But why I mention it is I specifically remember $65 mil as the forecasted number.
Did anyone see a full blown traditional Disney marketing push for this edition of the Narnia series? Because it didn't seem up to par on the in your face effort I'm used to. |
33
| WilliamK99
Sun 5/18/2008 6:30a | I hope Disney rethinks the Narnia 3-D experience.....Put something in there with relevance to today's audience.... |
34
| leemac
Sun 5/18/2008 6:37a | <<Fantasy movies traditionally do better during the holiday season, especially movies with such a strong Christian influence. >>
Only because historically that is where they have been released. Harry Potter has done just fine when it moved from a Fall release to the Summer season.
<<Disney really dropped the ball releasing Narnia in the summer. Whoever made that decision should be canned because Narnia is best suited for a Christmas release.>>
Disney have three very strong family releases this holiday season - HSM3 is late October, Bolt is the Thanksgiving release and Adam Sandler's Bedtime Stories is the Christmas release - I don't see any room in that schedule for anything else. I guess you could argue that one of those three could have made room for Narnia - I guess when you don't need to nurture a producing relationship (now Walden is off-lot) you can do what you like with the feature. |
35
| WilliamK99
Sun 5/18/2008 6:40a | Leemac, what are the odds Disney moves Narnia to a Christmas 09 or 10 release date instead of opening it 1 week after Iron Man II? |
36
| leemac
Sun 5/18/2008 6:50a | ^^ Very possibly - but a lot of the schedule for Holiday '09 has already been booked up. Disney have their first Zemeckis feature - Christmas Carol with Jim Carrey opening in early November and Bruce Willis' return to the studio with The Surrogates (that people at the studio love). Then you have Cameron's Avatar for Christmas from Fox. Tough already to find a slot. |
37
| mawnck
Sun 5/18/2008 7:41a | >>All over the movie boards, people have been saying this movie is basically disappointing and that Disney expected it to achieve around $200+ million domestically alone<<
Didn't we already have this argument about The Incredibles? ;-) |
38
| WilliamK99
Sun 5/18/2008 8:14a | Didn't we already have this argument about The Incredibles? ;-)<<
Incredibles didn't have Indiana Jones opening 5 days after it either.... Narnia will struggle to 175 million domestically... |
39
| WorldDisney
Sun 5/18/2008 9:20a | And Incredibles wasn't based on an already sucessful sequel either. I think William is right, Narnia should've been a winter release like last time. Look, NO ONE who made and produced this film will be starving anytime soon, but if it doesn't at least do around $70 million this weekend, its going to be VERY tough to get up to $200 million. Considering that Speed Racer bombed on impact, it didn't have much compettion to worry about.
Next week it will, big time! |
40
| Spirit of 74
Sun 5/18/2008 11:03a | I don't see Narnia doing as well as Disney would have liked, but I believe that's all because Indy is opening and Ironman is doing so well.
There's only so much room and films get crowded out very quickly this time of year. (Speed Racer will likely be in $1 cinemas by the time I finish this post).
I actually finally saw the first film on my recent cruise ... it was OK, but didn't hold my attention. Not sure I'm exactly in the target demos anyway.
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